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GK & Co. Financial Services, LLC Comments on the Market's Current Status

TROY, Michigan - February 10 2004 - By Kevin J. Delaere, CPA, CFP™

We're in a boom, so now what? Look around and it's hard not to find good news about the economy. The year-end numbers are still coming in but the information we already have from 2003 is positive.

Gross domestic product (GDP) hit a 20-year record pace in the third quarter. Job creation has been up. Unemployment is falling. Productivity reached an astounding 9.4% in the third quarter. Inflation was near zero.

The major stock indexes finished the year with outstanding gains. In particular, the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed the psychologically important 10,000 mark. Corporate profits were up sharply in the third quarter, as well. (The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index, which cannot be invested into directly. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

Looking forward, government and private economists are predicting 2004 GDP growth in a 3.8% to 4.3% range. Inflation is expected to remain mild, and unemployment will likely continue lower.

Americans have been waiting for this development. Even though the recession ended in November 2001, few people would describe the past two years as an economic expansion. In fact, an August 2003 Gallup poll found that 48% of investors still believed that the U.S. economy was in either a slowdown or a recession. Forty-five percent said the economy was in a recovery and 6% described it as in a sustained expansion.

How should you react? It depends on how you reacted to the recession. Individuals who sold off large portions of their equity and debt investments and transferred remaining assets to money-market funds or CDs may react differently from someone who decided to ride out the bear market.

Now may be an appropriate time to take review your personal financial situation with your Representative. Here are some strategies to help you gain perspective.

Take Advantage of Tax Cuts

If you collect a paycheck, you may have already noticed that Uncle Sam is keeping less in taxes. And if you have children, you may have received a check refunding a portion of your child tax credit. These are provisions of the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 that require no action on the part of taxpayers.

The 2003 tax law also contained some provisions that do require action before you can benefit. For example, corporate dividends are now taxed at a 15% rate for most people. To take advantage of the new lower rate, you may want to consider adding stocks that have a solid history of paying dividends. Likewise, if you own assets that you were reluctant to sell because of tax consequences, the new lower tax rate on capital gains - which is 15% for most people - may persuade you to reconsider. But these provisions are scheduled to expire in 2008, so it may be prudent to act soon.

Boost Your Retirement Contributions

If you have access to a tax-deferred retirement plan, you may be able to lower your taxable income in 2004. Contribution limits to 401(k), 403(b) and 457 plans have increased to $13,000. For workers aged 50 and older, the contribution limit has increased to $16,000. Contributions to other employer-sponsored retirement plans have increased as well.

Money contributed to a tax-deferred retirement plan is deducted from your current taxable income and not taxed until it is withdrawn. (Remember that withdrawals made before age 59 1/2 may be subject to an additional 10% federal tax penalty.) This can be especially useful if you are in a higher tax bracket now than you expect to be in during retirement.

Stick to Sound Retirement Principles

Adhering to sound investment principles may help you take advantage of whatever economic conditions lie ahead. First, it's important to pay attention to your time horizon, risk tolerance and investment objectives. These three factors will play a critical role in most of your decision-making.

Second, because different types of investments react differently to various market conditions, diversifying your assets among various asset classes can help manage risk. When one area of your portfolio is struggling, other areas may be performing well. This way, one poorly performing investment won't decimate your portfolio. It's important to remember that diversification won't guarantee gains or prevent losses. It is a method for helping to manage investment risk.

Third, it's wise to understand what you own. A trained eye can help you spot companies with strong earnings, a strong potential for growth and a healthy cash flow.

The economic conditions are all pointing in an encouraging direction. Now is the time to take advantage of the momentum that is building.

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Linsco/Private Ledger Member NASD/SIPC

GK Financial Services LLC is an affiliate of Groen, Kluka & Company, P.C., a professional accounting, management consulting and wealth management services firm. Founded in 1984, Groen, Kluka and Company serves a wide range of clients throughout southeastern Michigan.   The Troy-based firm is a member of the American Institute of CPAs (AICPA), the Michigan Association of CPAs (MACPA), and CPA Associates International (CPAAI).

This article is available for publication or to be used as a quoted source for any story. If you have any questions, or plan to use some of this information, please contact Mike Scott at (248) 362-5000.